In normal times, the baseline probability of a recession in any given 12-month window is around 20%. Every major forecaster ...

The economy is sending investors mixed signals again. The stock market continues climbing to fresh highs, corporate profits ...

Goldman sees encouraging signs in the latest jobs report, and predicts oil prices will stabilize around $90 by year-end.

The probability of a recession in the next 12 months is currently around 25%, according to Goldman Sachs estimates. Taken at face value, a recession would be bad news for American ...

NEW YORK - OCTOBER 02: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) October 2, 2008 in New York City. After passing in the Senate late Wednesday, the Bush administration's proposed ...

Record market highs: S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs after strong earnings and jobs data boosted investor confidence. 2026 recession odds fall: Prediction markets cut 2026 recession ...

The stock market has been on a wild ride over the past several weeks. After plunging by nearly 20% between February and April, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has rallied by more than 13% in the past ...

Renowned independent investment strategist Ed Yardeni, the President of Yardeni Research, has lowered his U.S. recession probability while raising his S&P 500 target following the trade deal with ...

When President Donald Trump announced his sweeping tariff plans a couple of months ago, economists at J.P. Morgan put the probability of a U.S. recession at 60% because of the prospect of a global ...

(ticker: GS) recently raised its recession probability to 30%, up five percentage points. Meanwhile, BlackRock Inc. (BLK) is ...

Sharp drop in 2026 risk: Recession probability for 2026 fell to 17.5% amid easing oil prices and record S&P 500 highs. Why 2027 looks tougher: Rising debt servicing costs, persistent inflation, and ...

NEW YORK - JUNE 10: People wait in line to enter the Diversity Job Fair at the Affinia Hotel June 10, 2008 in New York City. "The disconnect is not complacency about energy prices," macro analyst ...